Tuesday, October 14, 2014

20141015 BBC_Ebola crisis: Outbreak death toll rises to 4,447 says WHO

Health workers in protective equipment near Rokupa Hospital, Freetown on 6 October 2014.The WHO says a slowdown in the rate of new cases in some areas may be due to behavioural changes
The death toll from the Ebola virus outbreak has risen to 4,447, with the large majority of victims in West Africa, the World Health Organization (WHO) says.
WHO assistant director-general Bruce Aylward also said there could be up to 10,000 new cases a week within two months if efforts were not stepped up,
But the rate of new infections in some areas has slowed down, he added.
Sierra Leone, Liberia and Guinea have been hardest hit by the outbreak.
There have been 8,914 cases overall, including the fatal cases, and the WHO says it expects this number to top 9,000 by the end of the week.
The WHO estimates its figures by taking the numbers of confirmed cases and multiplying them - from Guinea by 1.5, from Sierra Leone by 2 and from Liberia by 2.5 - to account for under-reporting.
In other developments:
  • The UK begins Ebola screening at London's Heathrow airport
  • A medic working for Sierra Leone's army at a peacekeeping training centre in Freetown tests positive for Ebola
  • A "site manager" is appointed at the Dallas hospital where a nurse was infected, with the task of supervising how workers put on and take off protective clothing
  • The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has set up an immediate response team to travel to any US hospital where Ebola is diagnosed, to hit the ground "within hours"
  • A UN health worker, originally from Sudan, dies in Germany after contracting the disease in Liberia
  • Facebook co-founder and chief executive Mark Zuckerberg says he and his wife, Priscilla Chan, are donating $25m (£16m) to fight Ebola
  • A Spanish nurse - the first person to contract the disease outside of Africa - remains in critical condition, although doctors say there are signs of improvement
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Ebola patients treated outside West Africa*
Map showing Ebola cases treated outside West Africa
*In all cases but two, first in Madrid and later in Dallas, the patient was infected with Ebola while in West Africa.
  • Avoid direct contact with sick patients as the virus is spread through contaminated body fluids
  • Wear goggles to protect eyes
  • Clothing and clinical waste should be incinerated and any medical equipment that needs to be kept should be decontaminated
  • People who recover from Ebola should abstain from sex or use condoms for three months
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Still spreading
Mr Aylward told reporters in Geneva that the WHO, which is the UN's health agency, was concerned to see the virus was still spreading in the capitals of the three worst-affected countries.
He said the death rate in the current Ebola outbreak was 70%, describing it as a "high-mortality disease".
He said 95% of cases were limited to areas in the "historic epicentre" of the outbreak, where the rate of new infections appeared to be slowing.
However, he stressed that it would be too early to read this as success.
The latest WHO projections suggested there could be between 5,000 and 10,000 cases a week in Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone by December.
"It could be higher, it could be lower but it's going to be in that ballpark," he said.
"In certain areas we're seeing disease coming down, but that doesn't mean they're going to go to zero."
'Must do more'
Countries neighbouring the three worst-affected states are "at risk" and it is important for them to prepare for the possibility of Ebola cases, the WHO said.
The head of the UN mission for Ebola response, Anthony Banbury, also issued a stern warning - telling the UN Security Council by video-link from West Africa that in the race to contain Ebola, the virus was winning.
"If we do not get ahead of the crisis, if we do not reach our targets and the number of people with Ebola rises dramatically as some have predicted, the plan we have is not scalable to the size of such a new crisis," he said.
"We either stop Ebola now or we face an entirely unprecedented situation for which we do not have a plan."
Also on Tuesday, US President Barack Obama said that "the world as a whole is not doing enough" to contain the Ebola threat.
He was speaking at the end of a meeting with about 20 US and allied military leaders primarily focused on the threat from Islamic State militants.
He said the US would continue to do its part but added: "Everybody's going to have to do more than they are doing right now."
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Ebola deaths: Confirmed, probable and suspected
Ebola infograph
Source: WHO
Note: figures have occasionally been revised down as suspected or probable cases are found to be unrelated to Ebola. They do not include one death in the US recorded on 8 October.

20141015 The Standard_ Police accused of brutality

Police have been accused of abusing their powers during the early morning clearance of protesters at Lung Wo Road on Wednesday. Television footage showed a man -- who had been subdued and apparently handcuffed -- carried away by half a dozen policemen to a corner of Tamar Park and beaten.

Civic Party leader and lawmaker, Alan Leong Kah-kit, said he was shocked by the footage. He said he would ask the government for an explanation at Legislative Council. "From what I have seen of the TV news clipping, the six police officers involved in the attack really ought to be immediately investigated for possible criminal offense of assault occasioning actual bodily harm. I also urge the Independent Police Complaints Commission to immediately start interfering and to demand an immediate report from the police," Leong told RTHK.

Civic Party legislator Claudia Mo Man-ching, who is a member of Legco's security panel, said the police action was undeniable, and said they had a lot to answer for.
"At just one glance police surely seem to have abused its power because the police are uniformed and armed... They're breaching the law. They're breaking the law themselves," Mo said.

Legislator and Exco member Jeffrey Lam Kin-fung said police should follow up on the incident. He added he's seen a lot of kicking and beating in the past few days, without specifying anyone.
Yvonne Leung, the President of the University of Hong Kong Students Union, said the police had used unnecessary violence.

Meanwhile, an independent legislator, who is a member of the security panel, Ma Fung-kwok was shown the footage on a mobile phone, but he refused to comment, saying he could not see anything because everything was too dark. --RTHK

20141007 BBC_Hong Kong's democracy debate

This picture taken on 23 August 2014 shows a general view of commercial and residential buildings near Hong Kong's Victoria harbour.Hong Kong has its own legal system, with rights such as freedom of assembly and free speech protected
Hong Kong saw prolonged street protests after Beijing ruled out open nominations for the election of Hong Kong's leader in 2017. The BBC takes a look at the controversy.
What is Hong Kong's relationship with China?
Hong Kong, a former British colony, was handed back to China in 1997 following a 1984 agreement between China and Britain.
China agreed to govern Hong Kong under the principle of "one country, two systems", where the city would enjoy "a high degree of autonomy, except in foreign and defence affairs" for 50 years.
As a result, Hong Kong has its own legal system, and rights including freedom of assembly and free speech are protected.
Its leader, the chief executive, is currently elected by a 1,200-member election committee. A majority of the representatives are viewed as pro-Beijing.
Hong Kong's mini-constitution, the Basic Law, says that "the ultimate aim" is to elect the chief executive "by universal suffrage".
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So what has changed?
The Chinese government has promised direct elections for chief executive by 2017.
But in August 2014 China's top legislative committee ruled that voters will only have a choice from a list of two or three candidates selected by a nominating committee.
This committee would be formed "in accordance with" Hong Kong's largely pro-Beijing election committee. Any candidate would have to secure the support of more than 50% of the nominating committee before being able to run in the election.
Democracy activists believe China will use the committee to screen out candidates it disapproves of.
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Pro-democracy supporters raise banners that read: "Occupy Central with Love and Peace," during a kickoff ceremony of an referendum on democracy under a plan of Occupy-style protest in Hong Kong, on 20 June 2014.Occupy Central is one of several pro-democracy groups pushing for electoral reform in Hong Kong
Who is leading the debate?
Two main groups of pro-democracy activists have emerged.
One is Occupy Central, led by academic Benny Tai, while the other comprises student groups such as the Hong Kong Federation of Students and Scholarism.
Occupy Central organised an unofficial referendum on political reform in June 2014. About one in five Hong Kong residents turned out for it.
Shortly after the vote, tens of thousands of protesters took part in what observers say was Hong Kong's largest pro-democracy rally in a decade on 1 July, which marked the day Hong Kong was returned to China in 1997.
Since then, the student groups have become a key player as well.
In late September they led a week of class boycotts, which later grew into full-scale city-wide protests when Occupy Central decided to join in.
Notable student activists include Alex Chow and Lester Shum from the Hong Kong Federation of Students, and Joshua Wong of Scholarism.
The students later threatened to escalate the street protests by occupying government buildings if chief executive CY Leung did not resign. This prompted an offer of talks with high-level Hong Kong government officials, which the students accepted.
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People hold the Chinese and Hong Kong flags as they take part in a pro-government rally in Hong Kong on 17 August 2014A rally by pro-Beijing groups on 17 August drew thousands
Does everyone want full democracy?
No. Pro-Beijing groups, such as Silent Majority for Hong Kong andCaring Hong Kong Power have emerged, criticising pro-democracy activists for "endangering" the city.
They argue that continued civil disobedience and opposition to Beijing would only damage the city's reputation and economy, as well as its relationship with China.
These groups have organised several protests against Occupy Central and the pro-democracy movement. Its biggest event, held on 17 August, was attended by thousands.
The rally was unusual as large-scale pro-government protests are rare in Hong Kong. Several questioned its legitimacy, especially when reports emerged that some marchers were paid to attend.
Business leaders, who favour stability, have also opposed pro-democracy protests, and a recent survey by Hong Kong University showed more Hong Kong residents viewed China positively than negatively.
Pro-China legislators have argued that Beijing's proposals are an improvement on the current system.
During the Hong Kong pro-democracy protests in September and October 2014, several groups turned up at protest sites to oppose their occupation of major streets. Police arrested a number involved with scuffles with pro-democracy protesters, and said that among those arrested were people with links to triad gangs.
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Pro-democracy protesters attend a rally to protest the violence seen in Mong Kok, in Hong Kong, China, \4 October 2014China has denounced the street protests that took place in early October as "illegal"
What does China say?
China has consistently denounced pro-democracy protests taking place in Hong Kong, and has called the latest street occupations in September and October 2014 "illegal".
Li Fei, the deputy secretary general of the National People's Congress Standing Committee, said that openly nominating candidates would create a "chaotic society" and that any chief executive must "love the country".
In a June 2014 white paper, China said some had a "confused and lopsided" understanding of the "one country, two systems" model.
China has constantly stressed that unity is the way forward for the country, as it grapples with demands for greater autonomy in Xinjiang and Tibet.
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Hong Kong Chief Executive Leung Chun-ying speaks to Hong Kong journalists at a press conference during the APEC Summit on 6 October 2013 in Nusa Dua, Indonesia.The current chief executive of Hong Kong is Leung Chun-ying
What is the Hong Kong government's stand?
Chief Executive CY Leung hailed Beijing's decision on election candidacy as a "major step forward in the development of Hong Kong's society".
His government had said June's unofficial referendum had no legal standing.
It also welcomed the Chinese government's white paper, saying that Hong Kong has benefited from the "one country, two systems" model.
In a report submitted to Beijing in July, Mr Leung said that mainstream Hong Kong society agreed with Beijing on how electoral reform should proceed.
The report was based on public consultation with the Hong Kong public. But it drew fire from pro-democracy activists who said Mr Leung had misrepresented public opinion.
The government must still discuss Beijing's election ruling and formulate a bill to be passed by Hong Kong's legislature.

20141015 BBC_Hong Kong protests: Police move in to clear main road

Police in Hong Kong have clashed with pro-democracy protesters as they tried to clear an underpass near the city government headquarters.
Hundreds of police officers wearing riot gear used pepper spray and batons to disperse the protesters, arresting dozens of people in the process.
At a briefing before the clashes, police said they had to clear Lung Wo Road as it was a major thoroughfare.
Demonstrators have occupied parts of Hong Kong for more than two weeks.
The protesters, a mix of students and a pro-democracy group called Occupy Central, are demanding fully free elections in the next vote for the territory's leader.
China, which has control over Hong Kong, says residents can vote - but it will vet which candidates are eligible to stand.
The BBC's Juliana Liu in Hong Kong says violent clashes have been a rare sight since the evening that tear gas was first used at the beginning of the pro-democracy protests.
A police officer sprays a pro-democracy protester in the face with pepper spray in Hong Kong on October 15, 2014Police said in a statement that complaints of excessive use of force by officers would be investigated
Police officers scuffle with pro-democracy protesters outside the central government offices in Hong Kong - 14 October 2014Police said they had arrested 45 people on charges of unlawful assembly
Police forces march toward pro-democracy protesters during a standoff outside the central government offices in Hong Kong - 14 October 2014Police marched towards protesters blocking the road while holding umbrellas - a symbol of their cause
It is the third day of operations that police say are necessary to ease traffic disruption, but which they insist are not aimed at clearing the protesters.
Their new advance came when protesters blockaded the underpass after being cleared out of other areas of the city on Tuesday.
Local television networks broadcast live footage of scuffles, showing police arresting many protesters, whose hands were tied with plastic cuffs.
'Punches, kicks, elbows'
Tsui Wai-Hung, a police spokesman, said 37 men and eight women had been arrested for "unlawful assembly".
Student spokeswoman Yvonne Leung: "The police tactics will only prolong the protests"
None of those arrested had been hurt, the spokesman insisted, but four police officers were said to have been injured.
However, footage shown on local station TVB appeared to show one protester being taken aside by police officers and beaten.
Daniel Cheng, a journalist reporting on the clashes, told the AFP news agency that he was also beaten up by police officers.
"[Police] grabbed me, more than 10 police, and they beat me: punches, kicks, elbows. I tried to tell them I'm a reporter but they didn't listen."
The police later issued a statement saying complaints of excessive use of force by officers in this incident would be investigated.
The protesters are now in their third week of occupying key parts of the city in a bid to put pressure on China and Hong Kong's authorities to answer their calls for reform.
Thousands of people took to the streets at the beginning of the demonstrations but the numbers have dwindled in recent days.
Over the weekend, Hong Kong's embattled leader CY Leung said the protesters had zero chance of changing Beijing's mind on constitutional reform, saying the protests had spun out of control.
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Hong Kong democracy timeline
  • 1997: UK gives Hong Kong back to China under a 1984 agreement giving it "a high degree of autonomy" for 50 years
  • 2004: China says it must approve any changes to Hong Kong's election laws
  • June-July 2014: Pro-democracy activists hold an unofficial referendum on political reform; both sides hold large rallies
  • 31 August 2014: China says it will allow direct elections in 2017 but will pre-approve candidates
  • 22 September 2014: Student groups launch a week-long boycott of classes
  • 28 September 2014: Occupy Central and student protests join forces and take over central Hong Kong
  • 2017: Direct elections for chief executive due to take place

Sunday, October 12, 2014

20141013 BBC_Cyclone Hudhud pounds India's Andhra Pradesh and Orissa

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Cyclone Hudhud is pounding the eastern Indian coast, causing extensive damage and prompting the evacuation of some 350,000 people.
At least three people have been killed in Andhra Pradesh and three in Orissa.
The cyclone, classed "very severe", brought winds of 205km/h (127mph), as it passed over the coast near the city of Visakhapatnam.
The winds and heavy rains have brought down trees and power lines, and damaged crops and buildings in both states.
It is feared a storm surge of up to two metres could inundate low-lying areas and hundreds of relief centres have been opened in the two states. Disaster relief teams have also been sent.
Andhra Pradesh Chief Minister Chandrababa Naidu said it was too early to assess the damage fully.
"We are unable to ascertain the situation; 70% of communication has totally collapsed," he said.
"We are asking people not to come out of their houses. We are mobilising men and materiel immediately."
Flooding fears
The three deaths in Andhra Pradesh occurred in separate incidents in Visakhapatnam and Srikakulam districts, Chief Secretary IYR Krishna Rao said.
Graphic showing path of Cyclone Hudhud
Two were killed by falling trees and one by a collapsing wall.
Anil Shekhawat, from the National Disaster Response Force (NDRF), told the BBC: "The cyclone has landed... The NDRF is there - we have sent around 42 teams, comprising more than 2,000 rescuers."
The streets of Visakhapatnam, one of the largest cities in south-east India and home to a major naval base, remain largely deserted.
N Yuvaraj, a senior district official in Visakhapatnam, told the BBC: "We had this cyclone hitting us at around 10:25 Indian Standard Time (04:55 GMT). And at that point we had a wind speed of more than 205km/h."
A view from the Park Hotel in Visakhapatnam as the cyclone passed over, 12 OctA view from the Park Hotel in Visakhapatnam as the cyclone passed over
K Hymavathi, the special commissioner for disaster management for Andhra Pradesh state, said: "Hundreds of trees have been uprooted and power lines knocked down."
He added: "The situation is very severe. The national highway in the region has been shut."
Local journalist Hridayesh Joshi told the BBC from Visakhapatnam: "The situation is becoming increasingly bad. There is very strong wind and rain right now - objects are flying and smashing things.
"We are relatively safe in the centre of town, but the danger is for those in open areas. We are hoping it won't get much worse."
An elderly woman is carried to a relief camp in Kakinada, Andhra PradeshAn elderly woman is carried to a relief camp in Kakinada, Andhra Pradesh, amid warnings over Hudhud
The effects of the strong winds are felt on a beach in Gopalpur in Orissa, 12 OctThe effects of the strong winds are felt on Sunday on a beach in Gopalpur in Orissa
In its latest report, the India Meteorological Department said sea conditions would become "phenomenal" off the north Andhra Pradesh and south Orissa coasts.
It also warned that a storm surge of up to two metres would "inundate low-lying areas of Visakhapatnam, Vijayanagaram and Srikakulam".
Peter Gibbs has the latest on this powerful storm as it hits India
The director of the Bhubaneswar centre of the IMD, Sarat Sahu, told the BBC that Hudhud was "likely to trigger heavy rains in most parts of south Orissa and the neighbouring states of Chhattisgarh and Telengana", raising fears of heavy flooding.
India's eastern coast and Bangladesh are routinely hit by cyclonic storms between April and November which cause deaths and widespread damage to property.
A super-cyclone in 1999 killed more than 10,000 people in Orissa.
Last October as many as 500,000 people in India were evacuated when a severe cyclone called Phailin swept through Orissa and Andhra Pradesh states.

Friday, October 10, 2014

20141010 China Daily_China's one-child policy: the only child's view

Reuters Photographer Carlos Barria photographed a person born in each year China's one child policy has been in existence;from a man born in 1979, to a baby born in 2014, and asked them if they would have like to have siblings.
Starting late last yearChina began allowing millions of families to have two childrenpart of a plan to raise fertility rates andease the financial burden on a rapidly ageing population.

China's one-child policy: the only child's view

20141010 Yahoo_超強颱風黃蜂

超強颱風黃蜂正在迫近琉球群島。假如你計劃週末前往該區,請留意行程可能受到影響。
超強颱風黃蜂的可見光衛星雲圖,中心附近雲層平滑如鏡,風眼清晰可見,是超強颱風的典型特徵。風眼邊緣是風力最強、天氣最惡劣的地區。(來源:美國海軍研究實驗室)超強颱風黃蜂的可見光衛星雲圖,中心附近雲層平滑如鏡,風眼清晰可見,是超強颱風的典型特徵。風眼邊緣是風力最強、天氣最惡劣的地區。(來源:美國海軍研究實驗室)
 

根據天文台評估,黃蜂中心附近最高持續風力達每小時240公里,是西太平洋今年至今最強的熱帶氣旋。熱帶氣旋的強度以中心附近最高持續風力為準,不同國家及地區的準則及定義稍有不同,例如天文台以十分鐘平均風力為準則,當風力超過每小時185公里就稱為超強颱風。而美國聯合颱風警報中心則以一分鐘平均風力為準則,當風力超過每小時240公里就稱為超級颱風。一分鐘平均風力一般比十分鐘平均風力為高。

踏入十月,中國大陸明顯降溫,華南沿岸的東北季候風逐漸建立。由於大氣環境轉變,高空轉吹西風(夏季為東風),熱帶氣旋移至菲律賓以東海面時,會轉為向北移動吹襲琉球群島及日本,廣東沿岸受熱帶氣旋影響的機會相對減少。

雖然如此,西太平洋海水溫度仍然很高,而海水蒸發釋放出來的熱量正是熱帶氣旋能量來源,為熱帶氣旋增強提供有利條件。因此每年十月甚至十一月仍然有可能形成超強颱風,只是移動路徑未必對香港及廣東沿岸構成威脅。

隨著全球暖化,熱帶氣旋的及強度及路徑會受影響,氣象學家仍在研究中。其中一個課題是:熱帶氣旋會否變得更強?會否有更多的超強颱風或超級颱風出現?
 
圖:1959-2013年西太平洋超級颱風數目(來源:美國聯合颱風警報中心)圖:1959-2013年西太平洋超級颱風數目(來源:美國聯合颱風警報中心)


根據美國聯合颱風警報中心統計,過去三十年每年平均有4.1個超級颱風出現,最多一年為1997年,超級颱風數目為11個。圖表未有明顯的上升趨勢,而黃蜂則為今年第5個超級颱風。
雖然香港近年未有受超強或超級颱風正面吹襲,但我們不應鬆懈。今年吹襲海南島及雷州半島的超級颱風威馬遜,也許就是一個警示。(超強颱風及超級颱風的英文均為 super typhoon,但由不同氣象機構定義,而後者比前者更強。)

延伸閱讀:
1. 不同國家及地區的熱帶氣旋強度定義
http://typhoon.ws/learn/reference/typhoon_scale
2. 美國聯合颱風警報中心熱帶氣旋年報
http://www.usno.navy.mil/JTWC/annual-tropical-cyclone-reports
3. 全球熱帶氣旋路徑及強度資料庫
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/index.php